Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.167111 0.194465 0.224949 0.261451 0.303998 0.352055 0.410502
2025-02-16 0.123809 0.159926 0.204593 0.263970 0.340970 0.437643 0.568562
2025-02-23 0.099352 0.137886 0.189090 0.262257 0.364421 0.502474 0.704002
2025-03-02 0.081120 0.119313 0.173096 0.254590 0.375436 0.548815 0.817925
2025-03-09 0.071762 0.111005 0.169125 0.261806 0.406645 0.625614 0.984253
2025-03-16 0.062973 0.101867 0.162113 0.262655 0.427309 0.688152 1.136438
2025-03-23 0.056749 0.095624 0.158355 0.267493 0.454049 0.762536 1.316674
2025-03-30 0.049791 0.087093 0.149585 0.262534 0.463356 0.808790 1.455098
2025-04-06 0.044410 0.080441 0.142953 0.260050 0.476072 0.861659 1.611262
2025-04-13 0.040314 0.075465 0.138501 0.260635 0.493958 0.925280 1.794837
2025-04-20 0.038320 0.074037 0.140156 0.272499 0.533974 1.033963 2.077980
2025-04-27 0.036051 0.071774 0.139923 0.280607 0.567596 1.134307 2.357909
2025-05-04 0.033691 0.069112 0.138753 0.287022 0.599327 1.236237 2.658378
2025-05-11 0.031142 0.065760 0.135835 0.289567 0.623602 1.326506 2.948156
2025-05-18 0.028462 0.061783 0.131133 0.287686 0.638102 1.397896 3.206526
2025-05-25 0.025520 0.056869 0.123860 0.279262 0.637083 1.435414 3.393431
2025-06-01 0.024251 0.055470 0.123956 0.287190 0.673790 1.561249 3.803801
2025-06-08 0.022563 0.052908 0.121166 0.288124 0.694346 1.652615 4.144347
2025-06-15 0.021348 0.051288 0.120304 0.293439 0.725943 1.773799 4.575921
2025-06-22 0.019538 0.048031 0.115254 0.287990 0.730444 1.829953 4.849724
2025-06-29 0.018075 0.045444 0.111496 0.285261 0.741403 1.903467 5.179713
2025-07-06 0.016940 0.043541 0.109183 0.285904 0.761130 2.001796 5.591034
2025-07-13 0.016556 0.043508 0.111523 0.298939 0.815330 2.197140 6.300185